Connect with us

Investing

Leveraging a Gold Bull Market

Gold: No proudly South African investor should be without some in their portfolio.

Eamonn Ryan

Published

on

023

Prior to a decade ago gold hovered interminably in the $250-$300 range, suggesting that at today’s gold price of about $1 750 (at year end) all the easy money had already been made.

Not so. While the perception might be that gold is at the end of a decade long bull run, Standard Bank head of commodity research, Walter de Wet points out that in real terms it has yet to regain the level of 1980, when it reached $900/oz.

“Gold’s strength is that it has historically been a dependable hedge against inflation and a good alternative asset class having performed well during several recessions. It has kept its value even during recent economic slowdowns when equities and other assets tumbled in unison,” says De Wet.

In reality, behind this apparent conformity to trend, the fundamentals of gold have altered substantially. “Gold used to follow the trade-weighted dollar closely until July 2002, at which time the synchronisation broke down. A number of factors brought about this delinking: China’s economic rise and consequent trade surpluses; the establishment of the Eurozone which enabled countries which otherwise could not do so to issue debt at very low rates; and the development of exchange traded funds (ETFs) in gold which meant instruments did not have to be directly backed by hard assets,” explains De Wet.

Government bailouts supporting gold price

“Today, what is supporting the gold price is the fact that it now tracks global liquidity rather than the US dollar.” It is widely expected that current economic conditions support a continuation of the sharp rise in global liquidity for at least the next three to four years, through mechanisms such as quantitative easing. “In this scenario, what then is a fair value for gold? We believe global liquidity issues alone will justify an average gold price around $1 600/oz, on top of which is physical demand.” Standard Bank expects gold to average $1 895/oz during 2012 and peak at $2 200/oz during the first quarter of 2012 if expectations of a recession materialise.

“We foresee growing global liquidity until such time as China stops being the ‘debt buyer of last resort’ which it effectively has been by running massive trade surpluses — something which will continue until at least 2014/15.

“Even when real interest rates begin to rise globally, we still see the gold price continue increasing. In addition, we expect physical demand to remain strong, as it did during the fourth quarter of 2011,” says De Wet.

In fact, the price of gold needs to remain at least at the level of $1 600/oz because Standard Bank expects costs of production to rise from their current level of $1 150/oz to about $1 600/oz by 2015.

“The short-term risks to the global economy are credit risks and this is also positive for gold which carries no credit risk. In addition, we expect the European Central Bank to embark on some form of liquidity support (quantitative easing) which will underpin gold.”

Central banks are today’s major buyers of gold. De Wet explains that the graphs of most hard currencies showed a gradual debasing over time, so that gold was seen both as a more attractive reserve currency and as an important component of currency diversification for central banks.

Gold ETF is safe investment, but equities are interesting too

Having made the decision to buy gold in order to diversify one’s portfolio, Daniel Sacks, a fund manager at Investec Asset Management, thereafter recommends the simple expedient of buying the gold ETF – it’s the same as having physical gold without having to get your fingernails dirty.

However, gold equities also currently offer exceptional value. “Gold shares traditionally have a gearing to the gold price, whereas over the past quarter they have lagged the gold price increase, creating an arbitrage opportunity,” says Sacks.

Whereas the gold price has surged 20% and earnings have gone up by three times that amount, the price of listed gold companies has not budged. This places them on a favourable valuation of eight to nine times forward price/earnings ratios, well below the average of the JSE.

“This is a very low forward valuation,” says Sacks.

Investec favours AngloGold and Goldfields over Harmony – the JSE’s remaining three listed stocks. While Standard Bank projects rising costs of global production, Investec believes this is less the case among South African miners as production is falling, which tends to aid cost containment.

“In South Africa, most of the cost rises are behind us, and the inflationary costs such as labour and electricity are quantifiable.” As to why the cost of gold equities has not risen in tandem with the gold price, Sacks says it may reflect a market fear that the gold price will collapse.

“We don’t think that’s a likely scenario. We see the factors that have driven the gold price continuing into the future. So there is a strong case for holding gold: at a minimum we see a continuation of the trend that gold has increased by an average of 15% a year,” adds Sacks.

Before becoming a financial writer and freelance journalist in 1997, Eamonn Ryan was a legal adviser, company secretary and alternate director at listed company Cashbuild Limited from 1988 to 1997. Since becoming a financial writer, he has focused on the business and financial sectors, as well as personal finance, writing for Finweek, The Star Business Report, Sunday Times Business Times, Business Day, Mail & Guardian, Entrepreneur, Corporate Research Foundation (which brings out a series of books each year ranking SA’s best employers and best managers), as well as a host of once-off and annual publications such as ‘Enterprising Women’ and ‘Portfolio of Black Business’. He also writes media releases, inhouse magazines and sustainability or annual financial reports for various South African corporates and financial services groups, including the Ernst & Young annual M&A book.

Investing

(Infographic) The 10 Things You Should Cover In Every Investment Pitch

If you want to wow potential investors, you need to cover your bases.

Matthew McCreary

Published

on

investment-pitch-elevator-sales-pitch

If you’ve ever watched Entrepreneur’s original series, Elevator Pitch, then you’ve probably seen smart founders make dumb mistakes while pitching their ideas to potential investors. They might flub an answer or get tongue-tied, or they might just be a little boring. Other times, you might notice that something seemed off about a pitch, but you can’t quite put your finger on why.

Investors are gambling every time they put money into a new project or idea. Your job when pitching is to prove to them that you’re worth the risk. That means you’ll need to not only show them the possible upside of what they have to gain, but also be clear about what they could possibly expect to lose and their odds. In other words, you need to give them a holistic view of what you do, not just the one good idea.

You might have pitched an investor yourself and thought you crushed it, only to hear that the investor isn’t interested. If that’s the case, there’s a chance the pitch was missing one of 10 essential elements.

This infographic by Buffalo 7 breaks down 10 slides you should have in your next investment pitch deck. If you’re not presenting formally, though, you can still keep track of these aspects in your head and make sure you cover each one. They include:

  1. The vision, where you concisely explain your idea.
  2. The problem. Why is your vision necessary or helpful?
  3. The opportunity. What is the market size, and how can you position yourself to earn a share of it?

Related: How To Pitch Your Business, Product Or Idea To Industry Experts

This is just the start, though. Check out the infographic below to see the rest of the slides you need when pitching investors.

1541174287_investment-pitch-infographic

This article was originally posted here on Entrepreneur.com.

Continue Reading

Investing

‘Shark Tank’ Investors Reveal Top 5 Tips To Make Your Business Famous

Is your business worthy of fame? If so, pay attention to what the Sharks have to say …

Eric 'ERock' Christopher

Published

on

Shark Tank

Shark Tank enters its tenth season as popular as ever. Over the past decade, millions of people have watched fascinated as entrepreneurs pitched their business ideas and startups in the hopes of winning an investment and support from self-made millionaires and billionaires.

The multi-Emmy® Award-winning reality-based show has had a tremendous impact on the business world and has been a major influence on the increased popularity of becoming an entrepreneur. Over the years, the show has evolved into one of the world’s top platforms to launch a business and recently reached an astonishing $100 million in deals offered in the Tank.

I was recently invited to attend a private event hosted on the set of Shark Tank to celebrate their 10th season and met with all the Sharks and most of the guest Sharks for the current season. This year’s guest list includes luminaries:

  • Charles Barkley, Hall of Fame NBA star and TV analyst
  • Alex Rodriguez, legendary baseball player and businessman
  • Rohan Oza, an iconic brand builder and marketing expert
  • Sara Blakely, founder and owner of SPANX brand
  • Matt Higgins, the co-founder and CEO of RSE Ventures and vice chairman of the Miami Dolphins
  • Bethenny Frankel, TV celebrity, author, and founder of Skinnygirl brand
  • Jamie Siminoff, the CEO of RING, who rejected an investment offer in season 5, but went on to sell his company to Amazon for a whopping $1 billion.

My better half was also invited, and we arrived promptly on time at Studio 24 inside of Sony Pictures Studios in Culver City, CA. We were greeted by the cordial staff who informed us that the Sharks were still filming the last takes of the day. After several minutes, we were invited to chat with the Sharks on the main floor where nervous entrepreneurs excitedly pitch their companies to the investors under the bright lights of the studio set.

I was curious to know what excited the Sharks the most about their tenth season and what they believed to be the best advice for an entrepreneur to help make their business famous.

1. Create an ingenious product

When asked, Lori Greiner said, “It’s a mix, right? Of smart marketing and ingenious product. For example, Scrub Daddy was a technology. So, taking that one sponge, which was revolutionary, changed the whole sponge arena. We now have, to date, 20 different SKUs, and we have 30,000 new retail locations and 170 million in sales. That’s what takes it from one idea to a global brand.”

Of course, skillfully promoting your product on a platform like QVC is another excellent way to make your business famous. The day after the Scrub Daddy episode aired, Greiner helped CEO Aaron Krause sell their entire inventory of 42,000 sponges in less than seven minutes on QVC.

Related: 6 Great Tips For A Successful Shark Tank Pitch

2. Leverage social media marketing

barbara-corcoran

During my chat with Bethenny Frankel, she stressed, “Social networking is so important. Also being a little bit disruptive now … and you have to be creative. You have to be creative. The President was the most disruptive candidate that there’s probably ever been in history. He got people’s attention, and young entrepreneurs need to get people’s attention in some way. So be a little disruptive.”

Matt Higgins responded, “I’d say that you have to understand social and digital marketing. You can’t survive unless you understand Instagram, Snapchat or all the tools out there. You have to be contemporary.”

Barbara Corcoran claimed, “Every one of us successful entrepreneurs, for the last two years, were phenomenal at social media. It’s true. No exceptions.”

No smart entrepreneur will deny the power of social media when it comes to making your company famous. With more than 2 billion people worldwide using some form of social media, any business can put their business in front of a large audience, especially if they can create content that goes viral.

3. Build a community

Daymond John stressed the value of building a community. “You’ve got to build a community,” stated John. “Nobody needs to buy anything new in this world. They only buy it because there’s some form of community and/or need that you are supplying for them.”

John speaks from experience. He built a successful clothing empire by creating a vast community of his own via his clothing brand FUBU. John wisely invested in celebrity endorsements, making him an early pioneer of modern influencer marketing.

If you lack the resources to build your own community from scratch, you can leverage the power of others. Partnering with influencers who have cultivated their own communities allows you to introduce your product or service to larger audiences. In fact, some consider Shark Tank to be the world’s largest business influencer platform.

4. Devise a publicity hook to win earned media coverage

Barbara Corcoran also said, “I’d say you need a publicity hook. Some hook, angle or gimmick that grabs the attention unfairly from your competitors.”

Remember, Shark Tank is a unique combination of reality television, business acumen, and entertainment. Doing something unique, different, or disruptive can get you significant media attention and abundant free publicity… especially if you’re able to leverage that publicity and captivate the show’s producers, who decide your fate as to whether you’ll appear on the show.

Regardless if you want to appear on Shark Tank or not, being featured in the media is a way to differentiate your business from the competition and reach a broader audience. Be creative and willing to take educated risks when it comes to getting noticed by the media. You should always be actively building relationships with media representatives and ask for their insights when formulating your plan.

Related: Shark Tank Funded Start-up Native Decor’s Founder on Investment, Mentorship And Dreaming Big

5. Know your strengths and stay focused

When I asked for billionaire Mark Cuban’s insights, he thoughtfully replied, “Knowing your unique advantages, play to that, and your strengths. And focus. You know, what happens is very often people start with an idea, get a little bit of traction, then it gets hard. And when it gets hard, they start looking for other things to do as opposed to playing to their strengths. Because businesses aren’t supposed to be easy. You know, if they were easy everybody would already be rich, and we’d all be sitting on a beach somewhere. And so, when it gets tough, you gotta dig in and work hard. I’d say the final thing I’d add is that sales cures all. There’s never been a business that succeeded without sales. So, if you focus on selling … if you’re able to sell … and that’s something that is one of your core competencies, then you’ll be okay.”

These are wise words from one of the world’s few billionaires.

This article was originally posted here on Entrepreneur.com.

Continue Reading

Investing

The Best Way To Get Your Teenager To Start Investing Right Now

Jeff Rose advises a young fan on where to start his investment journey.

Published

on

teenagers-investment

In this video, Entrepreneur Network partner Jeff Rose talks about receiving a letter from a young investor, who is looking for advice on how to begin investing.

Rose talks about the act of actually doing the investing versus worrying about reading books or asking others about the process. Taking action gets the most results, since you are able to make mistakes and start the learning process. Taking action also leads to more experience, which is to say if you begin investing as a teen, you will be much more savvy about investing as a twenty-something.

In answering this young investor’s concern about investment direction – the fan hopes to balance short-term gain and long-term gain, as well as to establish some padding for a future business – Rose turns him in one specific direction: A Roth IRA. When he was younger, Rose didn’t even know what a stock was until far into his college years; during this time, he discovered the Roth IRA and learned of its compounding power, as well as the accessibility of an initial investment.

As another route, Rose also mentions starting a business. This path, Rose explains, will help you achieve the most return on investment.

Related: Making International Investing Simple And Transparent – CybiWealth Digital Platform

Click on the video to hear more tips for a younger investor.

This article was originally posted here on Entrepreneur.com.

Continue Reading
Advertisement

SPOTLIGHT

Advertisement

Recent Posts

Follow Us

Entrepreneur-Newsletters
*
We respect your privacy. 
* indicates required.
Advertisement

Trending